Baseball fans get another full slate on Wednesday, and it’s loaded with edges if you know where to look. I dug through probable starters, recent form, park factors, weather conditions, and free projections from Dimers, Swish Analytics, BallparkPal, and DraftEdge. Out of all that data, two props stand out above the rest, along with a value parlay that ties them together.
Bryan Woo Strikeout Upside
Seattle’s Bryan Woo has been one of the most reliable strikeout arms this season. He enters today with a sub-3.00 ERA and a WHIP under 1.00, backed by consistent swing-and-miss stuff. Over his last handful of starts, he’s regularly piling up strikeouts while keeping traffic off the bases.
Projections from multiple outlets, including CBS and DraftEdge, have Woo as a top “over” strikeout candidate for August 27. His line sits around 5.5 strikeouts, a number he’s capable of clearing given his recent form. The park he’s pitching in leans pitcher-friendly, which makes runs harder to come by, but strikeouts are more about his arsenal than the setting. This sets up as one of the most reliable props on the board.
Aaron Judge Home Run Potential
Aaron Judge has been in one of his classic power stretches, and the matchup today looks tailor-made for another big swing. Dimers’ simulations place him among the top home run candidates on the slate, with roughly a one-in-four chance of going deep.
He faces Cade Cavalli, a young right-hander who doesn’t have Judge’s pedigree of experience. Add in Yankee Stadium’s power-friendly dimensions, especially if the wind is pushing out to the short porch, and the case for a Judge home run becomes strong. When Judge is locked in, it only takes one mistake over the plate.
The Value Parlay
For bettors who like to chase a little more upside, tying these edges together makes sense. A three-leg parlay of Bryan Woo to go over 5.5 strikeouts, Aaron Judge to hit a home run, and the Yankees to win behind Max Fried offers solid value.
Each leg is logically connected. If Judge connects for damage, the Yankees are in a strong position to win with their ace on the mound. Meanwhile, Woo’s strikeout prop is independent of that result and plays into his own skill set. It’s the kind of small-stake, big-reward ticket worth considering.
Final Thoughts
Today’s slate offers plenty of games to dig into, but sometimes it’s best to zero in on the clearest edges. Bryan Woo’s strikeout profile and Aaron Judge’s home run power check both the statistical and situational boxes. Pair them with a Yankees moneyline and you’ve got a value parlay that makes sense beyond just throwing darts.
As always, monitor lineups, weather, and late scratches before locking anything in. Winds can shift and managers can surprise with lineup changes. Use tools like BallparkPal, Swish Analytics, and Dimers to double-check projections closer to first pitch.
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