The WNBA playoff picture is heating up, and with three matchups on tap for August 7, there’s plenty of opportunity for bettors to find value. Let’s dive into each game and see where the sharp money might be leaning.
Dream (18-11) at Sky (8-21) – 8:00 PM ET
Spread: Dream -8.5 | O/U: 160
The Atlanta Dream are surging, sitting at 18-11 and making a solid playoff push. They’re also 6-1 in their last seven games, while the Sky continue to struggle at both ends, holding a dismal 8-21 record. With a spread of -8.5, oddsmakers clearly expect Atlanta to handle business—but beware: the Dream have been inconsistent on the road.
Betting insight: The total is set at 160, which is low by recent WNBA standards. Atlanta has been leaning more on defense lately, and Chicago has struggled to score efficiently. Consider the under here if both teams continue that trend.
Fever (17-13) at Mercury (18-11) – 10:00 PM ET
Spread: Mercury -4.0 | O/U: 172
This one should be a dogfight. Indiana and Phoenix are nearly neck-and-neck in the standings, and both are fighting for better seeding. Phoenix comes in as a 4-point favorite at home, riding a solid stretch of offense powered by Diana Taurasi and Kahleah Copper. But don’t sleep on Indiana—Aliyah Boston and Caitlin Clark continue to develop chemistry, and the Fever are playing with confidence.
Betting insight: Indiana has been excellent as a road underdog lately, covering in four of their last five in that spot. Phoenix might win, but +4 on Indiana is tempting. The total at 172 feels sharp, but both teams can get hot—lean over if you trust the shooters.
Sun (5-23) at Sparks (13-15) – 10:00 PM ET
Spread: Sparks -11.0 | O/U: 175.5
The Connecticut Sun are in rough shape this season, holding just five wins heading into August. Meanwhile, the Sparks are hanging around playoff contention, and they’ve played better ball at home. LA is a big 11-point favorite here—and it’s deserved. Connecticut has failed to cover in 8 of their last 10, and they’re frequently buried early in games.
Betting insight: This feels like a get-right game for LA, and the Sparks could easily run away with it. If you’re worried about backdoor covers, look at first-half lines. As for the total, 175.5 is high considering the Sun’s scoring issues—under has value if LA controls the pace.
Final Thoughts:
There’s real betting value on this WNBA slate, especially for those paying attention to trends. If you’re playing:
- Dream/Sky: Consider Under 160
- Fever/Mercury: Lean Fever +4
- Sun/Sparks: Watch for Sparks -11 or First Half -6, maybe Under 175.5
Always check injury reports before locking in, and as always—bet smart.
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