🔥 Saturday Betting Breakdown: Cook Out 400 & UFC 319 Picks, Props & Parlay Plays (Aug 16, 2025)

Let’s lock in for a loaded Saturday slate featuring the NASCAR Cook Out 400 at Richmond Raceway and UFC 319 live from Chicago. We’ve got track trends, fighter form, and plus-money props ready to roll. Let’s dive into the data and deliver the picks that matter.

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🏁 NASCAR Cook Out 400 – Richmond Raceway

Track Snapshot

• Richmond Raceway: 0.75-mile D-shaped short track

• Weather: High 80s, light wind, 30% chance of rain

• Toyota dominance: 10 wins in last 19 Richmond starts

Qualifying & Driver Form

• Pole: Ryan Preece (RFK Racing) – 22.244 sec lap

• Top Qualifiers: Reddick, Allmendinger, Hamlin, Elliott

• Denny Hamlin: 6 Top-2s in last 8 Richmond starts

• Christopher Bell: 7 Top-6s in 9 Richmond starts

• Ross Chastain: 2 Top-5s in last 4 Richmond races

Team & Pit Crew Trends

• RFK Racing pit crews are dialed in—sub-10 second stops

• Preece, Keselowski, Buescher showing playoff urgency

Betting Angles

• Ross Chastain Top-5 Finish (+285): Trackhouse upside, recent Richmond success

• Ryan Preece Top-10 Finish (+150): Pole sitter with momentum

• Joey Logano Top-5 Finish (+1000): 11 Top-7s in last 15 Richmond starts

• Fade: William Byron (+900) – 1 Top-5 in 13 Richmond starts

• Fade: Chase Elliott (+1200) – 0-for-17 at Richmond

🏁 Best Bets

• Ross Chastain Top-5 Finish (+285)

• Ryan Preece Top-10 Finish (+150)

🔗 Value Parlay

• Chastain Top-5 + Preece Top-10 + Logano Top-5 = High-upside 3-leg parlay

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🥊 UFC 319 – United Center, Chicago

Main Card Highlights

• Dricus Du Plessis (23-2) vs Khamzat Chimaev (14-0) – Middleweight Title

• Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico – Co-Main

• Geoff Neal vs Elves Brener – KO potential

• King Green vs Ferreira canceled (injury)

Fighter Form & Matchups

• Du Plessis: 9-0 UFC, elite cardio, versatile striking

• Chimaev: 4.31 takedowns per fight, aggressive grappler

• Murphy: 8-0-1 UFC, volume striker

• Pico: KO threat, Bellator vet debuting in UFC

• Neal: Proven finisher, power edge over Prates

Prop Value & Edges

• Du Plessis ML (+200): Underdog champ with 5-round gas tank

• Chimaev by Submission (+250): Early finish potential

• Geoff Neal by KO (+205): Veteran power vs vulnerable Prates

• Murphy by Decision (+150): Smart striker vs wild debutant

🥊 Best Bets

• Geoff Neal by KO (+205)

• Du Plessis ML (+200)

🔗 Value Parlay

• Murphy Decision + Neal KO + Du Plessis ML = Balanced 3-leg parlay with plus-money upside

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💰 Final Word

Saturday’s slate is stacked with betting value. Chastain and Preece bring short-track upside at Richmond, while Du Plessis and Neal offer fight-finishing potential in Chicago. Whether you’re riding RFK’s pit crew precision or fading UFC hype, these picks are built on matchup data, recent form, and plus-money opportunity.

Hit us up at ClutchDailySports when your tickets cash and let’s celebrate the wins. Let’s eat.

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