When: 8:05 PM ET
Where: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Pitching Matchup: Hunter Greene (CIN) vs. Justin Steele (CHC)
📊 Game Outlook
The Cubs hold a 1–0 series lead after edging the Reds 5–4 last night. Chicago’s win kept them just two games behind Milwaukee in the NL Central, while Cincinnati slipped further in the Wild Card race.
Hunter Greene (RHP, CIN) brings elite velocity (98+ MPH average fastball) and a 11.2 K/9 rate but can struggle with pitch efficiency, leading to shorter outings.
Justin Steele (LHP, CHC) thrives on soft contact and ground balls, sporting a 2.45 ERA over his last 7 starts.
🔑 Keys to the Game
- Reds’ Offense vs. Lefties: Cincinnati ranks in the bottom third of MLB in OPS against left-handers, a concern against Steele.
- Cubs’ Patience at the Plate: Chicago’s top-10 walk rate could drive up Greene’s pitch count early.
- Bullpen Factor: Cubs’ pen is well-rested; Reds’ relievers have logged heavy innings the past 3 days.
🎯 Betting Angles
1. Hunter Greene Strikeouts — Over 6.5
Greene has hit 7+ Ks in 4 of his last 5 starts, including two double-digit strikeout games.
2. Elly De La Cruz Total Bases — Over 1.5
Elite speed and power threat who’s recorded multiple bases in 5 of his last 8 games.
3. Cubs to Score First — Yes
Chicago has scored first in 7 of their last 10 home games, often capitalizing early against high-strikeout pitchers adjusting in the first inning.
💵 FanDuel Same Game Parlay (SGP)
- Hunter Greene Over 6.5 Ks
- Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Cubs Score First
Potential Payout: +525 (based on current odds)
What team you got this evening?
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