It was a profitable day across the board, with our best bets cashing in style. Fitzpatrick delivered a Top-10 finish at the BMW Championship, Vlad Jr. went deep to crush his total bases prop, and Tarik Skubal mowed down hitters to clear his strikeout line with ease. Sure, a few long shots and parlays didn’t land, but the core plays hit exactly as planned—proving once again that sticking to high-confidence spots pays off.
BMW Championship at Caves Valley
🟢 HIT: Matt Fitzpatrick – Top-10 Finish (+240)
Fitzpatrick’s precision game played perfectly on the renovated Caves Valley layout, and he came through with another strong finish to cash the Top-10 ticket.
🔴 MISS: Ben Griffin – First-Round Leader (+3300)
Griffin’s first-round scoring average made him a tempting long shot, but Robert MacIntyre stole the show with an 8-under 62 and a three-shot lead after day one.
🔴 MISS: Fitzpatrick + Chris Gotterup Top-10 Parlay
Fitzpatrick did his part, but Gotterup didn’t break into the top 10, ending the boosted payout hopes.
MLB Props & Matchups
🟢 HIT: Vlad Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Cash with room to spare—Vlad Jr. launched a homer off Chicago to clear the line in one swing.
🟢 HIT: Tarik Skubal over 7.5 Strikeouts
Skubal dominated again, cruising past his strikeout total with ace-level stuff.
🔴 MISS: Kyle Schwarber over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Schwarber’s power was muted in a pitcher-friendly night, and he never got the extra-base hit we needed.
🔴 MISS: Jesús Luzardo over 6.5 Strikeouts (-120)
Luzardo didn’t find the same strikeout groove he’d shown recently, falling short of the mark.
🔴 MISS: Corbin Carroll to hit a Home Run (+350)
The Coors Field setting was ripe for bombs, but Carroll didn’t leave the yard.
🔴 MISS: Value Parlay (Vlad Jr. TB + Skubal Ks + Carroll hit)
Vlad and Skubal hit, but Carroll didn’t record a knock, ending the parlay.
Final Tally
🟢 What Hit:
- Matt Fitzpatrick Top-10 (+240)
- Vlad Jr. over 1.5 TB (+100)
- Tarik Skubal over 7.5 Ks
🔴 What Missed:
- Ben Griffin FRL
- Fitzpatrick + Gotterup Top-10 Parlay
- Schwarber over 1.5 TB
- Luzardo over 6.5 Ks
- Carroll HR
- Vlad Jr. + Skubal + Carroll Parlay
Bottom line: Our best bets—Fitzpatrick Top-10, Vlad Jr. TB, and Skubal Ks—were all winners, delivering a profitable slate despite the misses on the riskier plays.
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